Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Turris on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Turris wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Stajan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turris 52.8% vs Stajan 50.1% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turris 93.4%
Defensive zone
Stajan 54.2%
Neutral zone
Turris 66.8%
Result
Kyle Turris favored at 80.1%
80.1%
19.9%
Turris
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Turris
Stajan
Last 8: Turris 6-2 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
3
1
Turris
Stajan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Turris
3
1
Turris
Stajan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turris
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (942)
50.9% (627)
+1.8%
Power Play
54.9% (226)
40.0% (15)
+14.9%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (57)
47.6% (126)
+5.0%
On power play, Turris has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Turris is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (891).
Turris shoots right. Stajan is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Turris
Stajan
Home
56.3% (627)
52.4% (401)
Away
49.7% (598)
47.7% (367)
By Period
Turris
Stajan
P1
50.4%
56.3%
P2
53.9%
45.5%
P3
54.9%
48.9%
Final 5 min
48.5%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
53.1%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2017 | 3 | 13:39 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 3 | 04:33 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 2 | 18:00 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 2 | 05:31 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 2 | 00:38 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 3 | 07:58 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 3 | 01:15 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 1 | 14:25 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |