Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Shaw wins 40.2% vs left-shot opponents — Stajan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 42.9% vs Stajan 50.1% (-12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 85.7%
Defensive zone
Stajan 67.6%
Neutral zone
Shaw 59.9%
Result
Logan Shaw favored at 59.6%
59.6%
40.4%
Shaw
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Shaw
Stajan
Last 6: Shaw 2-4 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
1
0
Shaw
Stajan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
1
Shaw
Stajan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
1
3
Shaw
Stajan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
38.3% (133)
50.9% (627)
-12.6%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
40.0% (15)
+60.0%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (11)
47.6% (126)
-20.3%
On power play, Shaw has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Shaw is 40.2% vs left-shot opponents (102).
Shaw shoots right. Stajan is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Shaw
Stajan
Home
42.2% (64)
52.4% (401)
Away
34.6% (81)
47.7% (367)
By Period
Shaw
Stajan
P1
28.3%
56.3%
P2
43.4%
45.5%
P3
46.9%
48.9%
Final 5 min
43.3%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
46.0%▼
50.5%
37.9%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2016 | 2 | 03:24 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 2 | 03:16 | Offensive | Logan Shaw |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 3 | 16:30 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 3 | 01:31 | Neutral | Logan Shaw |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 1 | 02:11 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 1 | 02:09 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |