Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Ribeiro on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 49.4% vs Ribeiro 43.2% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Ribeiro leads 25-20 in 45 meetings
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 85.3%
Defensive zone
Stajan 73.1%
Neutral zone
Ribeiro 61.2%
Result
Mike Ribeiro favored at 61.6%
38.4%
61.6%
Stajan
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
25
(45 meetings)
20
25
Stajan
Ribeiro
Last 10: Stajan 5-5 Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
3
12
Stajan
Ribeiro
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
9
1
Stajan
Ribeiro
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
8
12
Stajan
Ribeiro
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (4,944)
42.9% (4,887)
+7.3%
Power Play
43.2% (176)
45.6% (930)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (864)
33.3% (147)
+12.8%
On penalty kill, Stajan has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. Stajan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,964).
Stajan shoots left. Ribeiro is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,885).
Home / Away
Stajan
Ribeiro
Home
51.3% (3,098)
44.1% (3,144)
Away
47.3% (2,892)
41.9% (2,837)
By Period
Stajan
Ribeiro
P1
50.3%
42.6%
P2
48.5%
44.3%
P3
49.4%
41.8%
OT
53.3%
49.0%
Final 5 min
49.9%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2016 | 3 | 03:49 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 27, 2016 | 2 | 19:05 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 27, 2016 | 2 | 17:02 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 27, 2016 | 1 | 07:17 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 2 | 17:25 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 1 | 17:40 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 1 | 11:57 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 2 | 17:39 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 2 | 08:16 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 1 | 12:31 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 22, 2014 | 3 | 14:35 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 22, 2014 | 3 | 12:31 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 22, 2014 | 3 | 03:20 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 22, 2014 | 1 | 09:54 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 3 | 09:49 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 3 | 09:28 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 1 | 19:40 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 4, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Dec 4, 2013 | 2 | 19:45 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |