Matt Stajan vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on neutral-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 49.4% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Stajan leads 15-10 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 62.8%
Defensive zone
Stajan 82.9%
Neutral zone
Stajan 66.8%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 61.3%
61.3%
38.7%
Stajan
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
10
(25 meetings)
15
10
Stajan
MacKinnon
Last 10: Stajan 5-5 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
7
Stajan
MacKinnon
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
6
2
Stajan
MacKinnon
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
7
1
Stajan
MacKinnon
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (4,944)
46.1% (11,218)
+4.1%
Power Play
43.2% (176)
53.3% (1,412)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (864)
42.8% (502)
+3.3%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Stajan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,026).
Stajan shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
Home / Away
Stajan
MacKinnon
Home
51.3% (3,098)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
47.3% (2,892)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Stajan
MacKinnon
P1
50.3%
47.4%
P2
48.5%
46.6%
P3
49.4%
46.1%
OT
53.3%
48.4%
Final 5 min
49.9%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2018 | 3 | 00:36 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 28, 2018 | 1 | 03:03 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 3 | 14:46 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 1 | 16:03 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 1 | 09:06 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 1 | 05:36 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 27, 2017 | 1 | 19:39 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 4, 2017 | 3 | 17:11 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 4, 2017 | 3 | 05:34 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 4, 2017 | 2 | 02:12 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 3 | 03:57 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 2 | 09:49 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 18, 2016 | 2 | 15:55 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 18, 2016 | 1 | 17:50 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 18, 2016 | 1 | 09:20 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 13:07 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 05:54 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 09:01 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 3 | 00:38 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 1 | 08:48 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |