Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on neutral-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 51.6% vs Stastny 55.1% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 13-5 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Stajan 62.6%
Defensive zone
Stajan 84.5%
Neutral zone
Stajan 68.4%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 70.4%
70.4%
29.6%
Stajan
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
13
(18 meetings)
5
13
Stajan
Stastny
Last 10: Stajan 3-7 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
3
2
Stajan
Stastny
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
3
Stajan
Stastny
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
8
Stajan
Stastny
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (509)
55.0% (1,136)
-2.0%
Power Play
41.4% (29)
57.5% (200)
-16.1%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (98)
53.1% (64)
-5.1%
On power play, Stastny has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Stajan is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Stajan shoots left. Stastny is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Home / Away
Stajan
Stastny
Home
53.8% (353)
58.5% (744)
Away
49.3% (286)
52.1% (680)
By Period
Stajan
Stastny
P1
52.0%
57.9%
P2
52.0%
54.9%
P3
51.0%
53.0%
OT
75.0%
72.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
51.8%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2012 | 3 | 17:49 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 3 | 03:55 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 3 | 00:54 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 3 | 00:36 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 1 | 13:04 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 3 | 18:37 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 3 | 16:30 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 3 | 03:02 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 1 | 17:11 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 1 | 05:12 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 1 | 01:47 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 6, 2011 | 3 | 13:22 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 6, 2011 | 3 | 02:24 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 6, 2011 | 2 | 16:26 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 6, 2011 | 2 | 05:54 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |