Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on neutral-zone draws (68% H2H, 38 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 49.4% vs Stastny 55.1% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 53-40 in 93 meetings
Offensive zone
Stajan 64.9%
Defensive zone
Stajan 87.8%
Neutral zone
Stajan 74.8%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 75.8%
75.8%
24.2%
Stajan
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
40
-
53
(93 meetings)
40
53
Stajan
Stastny
Last 10: Stajan 4-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
9
18
Stajan
Stastny
27 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
19
9
Stajan
Stastny
28 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
12
26
Stajan
Stastny
38 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (4,944)
54.6% (10,616)
-4.4%
Power Play
43.2% (176)
59.1% (1,994)
-15.9%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (864)
52.9% (1,119)
-6.8%
On power play, Stastny has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Stajan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,964).
Stajan shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Stajan
Stastny
Home
51.3% (3,098)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
47.3% (2,892)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Stajan
Stastny
P1
50.3%
56.3%
P2
48.5%
55.4%
P3
49.4%
53.5%
OT
53.3%
62.9%
Final 5 min
49.9%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2017 | 3 | 14:47 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 20, 2017 | 2 | 06:40 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 20, 2017 | 2 | 06:32 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 20, 2017 | 2 | 00:53 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 20, 2017 | 1 | 10:28 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 25, 2017 | 1 | 03:58 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 3 | 09:26 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 3 | 06:03 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 3 | 02:19 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 2 | 12:50 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 2 | 10:07 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 2 | 04:36 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 2 | 02:16 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 2 | 10:10 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 1 | 12:06 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 1 | 04:34 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 3 | 13:19 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 2 | 03:37 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 1 | 09:03 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 2 | 18:48 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |