Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 47.6% vs Kesler 58.0% (-11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stajan 86.1%
Defensive zone
Stajan 79.9%
Neutral zone
Stajan 82.3%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 84.1%
84.1%
15.9%
Stajan
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Stajan
Kesler
Last 5: Stajan 0-5 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
3
Stajan
Kesler
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Stajan
Kesler
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Stajan
Kesler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (678)
58.6% (1,138)
-10.8%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
64.5% (186)
-31.2%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (101)
55.0% (351)
-9.5%
On power play, Kesler has a +31.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Stajan is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (315).
Stajan shoots left. Kesler is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,168).
Home / Away
Stajan
Kesler
Home
49.0% (392)
61.0% (859)
Away
45.7% (396)
55.9% (816)
By Period
Stajan
Kesler
P1
47.9%
59.1%
P2
49.8%
56.5%
P3
43.4%
60.5%
OT
100.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
46.6%
61.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
47.3%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2016 | 2 | 15:25 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 30, 2016 | 2 | 01:59 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 1 | 15:26 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 2 | 00:31 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 24, 2015 | 1 | 11:15 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |