Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 22 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 49.4% vs Kesler 55.9% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 37-27 in 64 meetings
Offensive zone
Stajan 84.1%
Defensive zone
Stajan 79.7%
Neutral zone
Stajan 81.7%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 81.7%
81.7%
18.3%
Stajan
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
37
(64 meetings)
27
37
Stajan
Kesler
Last 10: Stajan 6-4 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
3
19
Stajan
Kesler
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
15
12
Stajan
Kesler
27 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
9
6
Stajan
Kesler
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (4,944)
56.4% (8,095)
-6.2%
Power Play
43.2% (176)
60.7% (1,437)
-17.5%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (864)
50.5% (1,908)
-4.4%
On power play, Kesler has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Stajan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,026).
Stajan shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Stajan
Kesler
Home
51.3% (3,098)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
47.3% (2,892)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Stajan
Kesler
P1
50.3%
56.5%
P2
48.5%
55.9%
P3
49.4%
56.1%
OT
53.3%
46.0%
Final 5 min
49.9%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2018 | 1 | 18:39 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 1 | 07:39 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 2 | 17:53 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 1 | 10:57 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 3 | 16:49 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 2 | 15:12 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 3 | 01:55 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 2 | 12:31 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 2 | 12:20 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 2 | 10:03 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 30, 2016 | 2 | 15:25 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 30, 2016 | 2 | 01:59 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 1 | 15:26 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 2 | 00:31 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 24, 2015 | 1 | 11:15 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 1 | 14:36 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 1 | 09:57 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 1 | 02:12 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 20, 2015 | 2 | 11:56 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |