Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 50.1% vs Kesler 57.0% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kesler 84.1%
Defensive zone
Kesler 61.0%
Neutral zone
Kesler 67.9%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 71.8%
28.2%
71.8%
Stajan
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Stajan
Kesler
Last 9: Stajan 6-3 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
2
Stajan
Kesler
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
2
0
Stajan
Kesler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
3
1
Stajan
Kesler
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (627)
57.6% (1,225)
-6.7%
Power Play
40.0% (15)
63.5% (263)
-23.5%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (126)
51.5% (305)
-3.9%
On power play, Kesler has a +23.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Stajan is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Stajan shoots left. Kesler is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,218).
Home / Away
Stajan
Kesler
Home
52.4% (401)
59.1% (881)
Away
47.7% (367)
55.7% (912)
By Period
Stajan
Kesler
P1
56.3%
56.6%
P2
45.5%
58.2%
P3
48.9%
57.5%
Final 5 min
47.2%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
50.1%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2017 | 2 | 17:53 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 1 | 10:57 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 3 | 16:49 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 2 | 15:12 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 3 | 01:55 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 2 | 12:31 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 2 | 12:20 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 2 | 10:03 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |