Matt Stajan vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2011-12 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 51.6% vs Nugent-Hopkins 39.3% (+14.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 72.5%
Defensive zone
Stajan 76.1%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 51.0%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Stajan
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Stajan
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 5: Stajan 2-3 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
1
0
Stajan
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
1
0
Stajan
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
3
Stajan
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (509)
37.1% (566)
+15.9%
Power Play
41.4% (29)
54.5% (22)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (98)
40.0% (5)
+8.0%
On even strength, Stajan has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Stajan is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Stajan shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 36.8% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Stajan
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
53.8% (353)
37.5% (312)
Away
49.3% (286)
37.5% (293)
By Period
Stajan
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
52.0%
35.4%
P2
52.0%
37.8%
P3
51.0%
39.9%
OT
75.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
50.9%
37.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
51.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
37.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 16, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 16, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 3 | 11:37 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 2 | 08:12 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |