Matt Stajan vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 24 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 49.4% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.8% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Stajan leads 47-44 in 91 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 64.5%
Defensive zone
Stajan 78.9%
Neutral zone
Stajan 61.8%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Stajan
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
47
-
44
(91 meetings)
47
44
Stajan
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Stajan 7-3 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
9
23
Stajan
Nugent-Hopkins
32 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
21
3
Stajan
Nugent-Hopkins
24 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
17
18
Stajan
Nugent-Hopkins
35 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (4,944)
44.9% (8,756)
+5.3%
Power Play
43.2% (176)
50.7% (839)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (864)
37.9% (879)
+8.2%
On penalty kill, Stajan has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Stajan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,964).
Stajan shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,841).
Home / Away
Stajan
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
51.3% (3,098)
46.5% (5,350)
Away
47.3% (2,892)
42.9% (5,136)
By Period
Stajan
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
50.3%
45.1%
P2
48.5%
43.9%
P3
49.4%
45.3%
OT
53.3%
43.5%
Final 5 min
49.9%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2018 | 2 | 16:24 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 1 | 15:29 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 3 | 09:28 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 3 | 09:22 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 2 | 12:05 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 2 | 09:27 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 1 | 06:14 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 14, 2016 | 1 | 08:41 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 14, 2016 | 1 | 06:21 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 12, 2016 | 3 | 01:24 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 12, 2016 | 2 | 09:06 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 12, 2016 | 1 | 07:38 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 16, 2016 | 2 | 16:23 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 27, 2015 | 3 | 18:00 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 27, 2015 | 2 | 01:08 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 27, 2015 | 1 | 05:12 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 2 | 19:11 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 2 | 12:28 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 31, 2015 | 1 | 02:39 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |