Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 51.2% vs O'Reilly 59.5% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 52.6%
Defensive zone
Stajan 75.5%
Neutral zone
Stajan 68.4%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
Stajan
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Stajan
O'Reilly
Last 6: Stajan 2-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
3
Stajan
O'Reilly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
2
1
Stajan
O'Reilly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (395)
60.3% (1,517)
-8.1%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
61.5% (387)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (82)
55.0% (220)
-7.4%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Stajan is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (289).
Stajan shoots left. O'Reilly is 60.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,411).
Home / Away
Stajan
O'Reilly
Home
50.8% (238)
62.5% (1,143)
Away
52.0% (244)
57.1% (981)
By Period
Stajan
O'Reilly
P1
56.3%
56.8%
P2
48.8%
64.6%
P3
49.4%
58.5%
Final 5 min
52.2%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
51.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
60.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2018 | 3 | 05:54 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 7, 2018 | 3 | 05:36 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 7, 2018 | 3 | 02:27 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 2 | 17:46 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 2 | 12:28 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 1 | 18:27 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |