Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Smyth on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 51.6% vs Smyth 46.4% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smyth 75.9%
Defensive zone
Stajan 69.2%
Neutral zone
Smyth 55.3%
Result
Ryan Smyth favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Stajan
Smyth
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Stajan
Smyth
Last 5: Stajan 2-3 Smyth
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smyth
0
3
Stajan
Smyth
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
2
0
Stajan
Smyth
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Smyth
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (509)
40.0% (90)
+13.0%
Power Play
41.4% (29)
63.0% (46)
-21.6%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (98)
8.3% (12)
+39.7%
On penalty kill, Stajan has a +39.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smyth shoots left. Stajan is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Stajan shoots left. Smyth is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (102).
Home / Away
Stajan
Smyth
Home
53.8% (353)
47.1% (68)
Away
49.3% (286)
41.5% (82)
By Period
Stajan
Smyth
P1
52.0%
45.8%
P2
52.0%
40.4%
P3
51.0%
45.8%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
30.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
51.8%
Smyth
50.0%▬
50.5%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2012 | 3 | 15:37 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 2 | 02:55 | Offensive | Ryan Smyth |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 1 | 15:16 | Offensive | Ryan Smyth |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 3 | 11:46 | Offensive | Ryan Smyth |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 2 | 17:43 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |