Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Smyth on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 49.4% vs Smyth 45.8% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Smyth leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Smyth 83.7%
Defensive zone
Stajan 63.6%
Neutral zone
Smyth 66.4%
Result
Ryan Smyth favored at 63.6%
36.4%
63.6%
Stajan
Smyth
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Stajan
Smyth
Last 10: Stajan 3-7 Smyth
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smyth
0
8
Stajan
Smyth
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
4
2
Stajan
Smyth
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
1
0
Stajan
Smyth
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Smyth
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (4,944)
45.2% (456)
+5.0%
Power Play
43.2% (176)
51.8% (164)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (864)
23.3% (43)
+22.8%
On penalty kill, Stajan has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smyth shoots left. Stajan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,964).
Stajan shoots left. Smyth is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (434).
Home / Away
Stajan
Smyth
Home
51.3% (3,098)
49.7% (340)
Away
47.3% (2,892)
40.5% (326)
By Period
Stajan
Smyth
P1
50.3%
48.3%
P2
48.5%
41.7%
P3
49.4%
46.5%
OT
53.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
49.9%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Smyth
50.0%▬
50.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2014 | 2 | 05:04 | Defensive | Ryan Smyth |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 1 | 08:57 | Offensive | Ryan Smyth |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 3 | 11:25 | Offensive | Ryan Smyth |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 3 | 18:54 | Offensive | Ryan Smyth |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 3 | 18:44 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 3 | 15:57 | Offensive | Ryan Smyth |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 3 | 15:53 | Offensive | Ryan Smyth |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 3 | 15:33 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 2 | 12:26 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 2 | 03:33 | Defensive | Ryan Smyth |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 3 | 15:37 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 2 | 02:55 | Offensive | Ryan Smyth |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 1 | 15:16 | Offensive | Ryan Smyth |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 3 | 11:46 | Offensive | Ryan Smyth |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 2 | 17:43 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |