Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 49.4% vs Doan 48.3% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Doan 87.7%
Defensive zone
Stajan 93.7%
Neutral zone
Stajan 58.4%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
Stajan
Doan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Stajan
Doan
Last 8: Stajan 5-3 Doan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Doan
1
2
Stajan
Doan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
3
1
Stajan
Doan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
1
0
Stajan
Doan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Doan
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (4,944)
48.6% (451)
+1.6%
Power Play
43.2% (176)
46.3% (136)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (864)
50.0% (10)
-3.9%
On penalty kill, Doan has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Doan shoots right. Stajan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,026).
Stajan shoots left. Doan is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (462).
Home / Away
Stajan
Doan
Home
51.3% (3,098)
48.4% (312)
Away
47.3% (2,892)
47.6% (286)
By Period
Stajan
Doan
P1
50.3%
42.8%
P2
48.5%
48.3%
P3
49.4%
53.0%
OT
53.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.9%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Doan
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2016 | 2 | 12:27 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 2 | 03:54 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 2 | 03:52 | Offensive | Shane Doan |
| Dec 19, 2016 | 1 | 06:46 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 16, 2016 | 2 | 11:16 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 16, 2016 | 1 | 15:52 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 16, 2016 | 1 | 09:56 | Defensive | Shane Doan |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 3 | 19:04 | Offensive | Shane Doan |