Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 50.1% vs Graovac 48.1% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Graovac 79.8%
Defensive zone
Stajan 75.6%
Neutral zone
Graovac 51.8%
Result
Tyler Graovac favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Stajan
Graovac
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Stajan
Graovac
Last 7: Stajan 3-4 Graovac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Graovac
0
2
Stajan
Graovac
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
1
0
Stajan
Graovac
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Stajan
Graovac
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Graovac
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (627)
47.5% (341)
+3.4%
Power Play
40.0% (15)
50.0% (2)
-10.0%
On power play, Graovac has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Graovac shoots left. Stajan is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (515).
Stajan shoots left. Graovac is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (222).
Home / Away
Stajan
Graovac
Home
52.4% (401)
48.6% (181)
Away
47.7% (367)
46.3% (162)
By Period
Stajan
Graovac
P1
56.3%
42.4%
P2
45.5%
46.8%
P3
48.9%
54.5%
Final 5 min
47.2%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
50.1%
Graovac
48.0%▲
43.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2017 | 2 | 16:34 | Offensive | Tyler Graovac |
| Feb 1, 2017 | 2 | 12:40 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 1, 2017 | 1 | 08:09 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 1, 2017 | 1 | 04:26 | Neutral | Tyler Graovac |
| Feb 1, 2017 | 1 | 01:58 | Offensive | Tyler Graovac |
| Dec 2, 2016 | 1 | 02:50 | Neutral | Tyler Graovac |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 1 | 15:24 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |