Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 49.4% vs Graovac 47.1% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Graovac 77.4%
Defensive zone
Stajan 76.2%
Neutral zone
Graovac 53.5%
Result
Tyler Graovac favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Stajan
Graovac
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Stajan
Graovac
Last 7: Stajan 3-4 Graovac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Graovac
0
2
Stajan
Graovac
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
1
0
Stajan
Graovac
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Stajan
Graovac
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Graovac
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (4,944)
46.5% (497)
+3.7%
Power Play
43.2% (176)
50.0% (4)
-6.8%
On power play, Graovac has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Graovac shoots left. Stajan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,964).
Stajan shoots left. Graovac is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (343).
Home / Away
Stajan
Graovac
Home
51.3% (3,098)
47.6% (233)
Away
47.3% (2,892)
45.5% (268)
By Period
Stajan
Graovac
P1
50.3%
41.7%
P2
48.5%
47.4%
P3
49.4%
51.0%
Final 5 min
49.9%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Graovac
48.0%▲
43.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2017 | 2 | 16:34 | Offensive | Tyler Graovac |
| Feb 1, 2017 | 2 | 12:40 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 1, 2017 | 1 | 08:09 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 1, 2017 | 1 | 04:26 | Neutral | Tyler Graovac |
| Feb 1, 2017 | 1 | 01:58 | Offensive | Tyler Graovac |
| Dec 2, 2016 | 1 | 02:50 | Neutral | Tyler Graovac |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 1 | 15:24 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |