Scouting Report
Matthew Lombardi holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Lombardi on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyes 48.0% vs Lombardi 49.5% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyes 53.0%
Defensive zone
Lombardi 51.5%
Neutral zone
Lombardi 51.0%
Result
Brad Boyes favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Boyes
Lombardi
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Boyes
Lombardi
Last 5: Boyes 3-2 Lombardi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyes
2
0
Boyes
Lombardi
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lombardi
1
2
Boyes
Lombardi
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyes
Lombardi
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (246)
50.8% (260)
-4.1%
Power Play
60.0% (15)
47.4% (19)
+12.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
38.5% (26)
-38.5%
On penalty kill, Lombardi has a +38.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lombardi shoots left. Boyes is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (183).
Boyes shoots right. Lombardi is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (97).
Home / Away
Boyes
Lombardi
Home
48.7% (113)
49.2% (177)
Away
46.1% (154)
49.6% (129)
By Period
Boyes
Lombardi
P1
44.3%
49.5%
P2
48.9%
53.9%
P3
48.1%
45.1%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyes
60.0%▲
57.0%
47.2%
Lombardi
46.0%▲
43.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2012 | 2 | 02:42 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 1 | 14:06 | Neutral | Matthew Lombardi |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 1 | 03:53 | Neutral | Brad Boyes |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 1 | 01:05 | Neutral | Matthew Lombardi |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 1 | 16:55 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |