Matthew Peca vs Mitchell Stephens
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mitchell Stephens holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Peca wins 57.0% vs right-shot opponents — Stephens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Peca 50.2% vs Stephens 52.4% (-2.4%)
Offensive zone
Peca 64.0%
Defensive zone
Stephens 67.2%
Neutral zone
Peca 51.2%
Result
Mitchell Stephens favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Peca
Stephens
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Peca
Stephens
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (423)
54.5% (795)
-3.0%
Power Play
12.5% (8)
21.4% (14)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (43)
47.2% (178)
-3.0%
On power play, Stephens has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stephens shoots right. Peca is 57.0% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Peca shoots left. Stephens is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (709).
Home / Away
Peca
Stephens
Home
46.1% (193)
54.1% (471)
Away
53.0% (281)
51.3% (517)
By Period
Peca
Stephens
P1
56.6%
53.6%
P2
44.4%
50.7%
P3
50.3%
54.3%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.4%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Peca
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.2%
Stephens
42.0%▼
52.5%
52.6%