Scouting Report
Matthew Peca holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Peca wins 57.6% vs right-shot opponents — Patrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Peca 54.0% vs Patrick 50.5% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Peca 57.7%
Defensive zone
Peca 80.0%
Neutral zone
Peca 62.5%
Result
Matthew Peca favored at 67.6%
67.6%
32.4%
Peca
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Peca
Patrick
Last 5: Peca 5-0 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Peca
2
0
Peca
Patrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Peca
2
0
Peca
Patrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Peca
1
0
Peca
Patrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Peca
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (116)
50.6% (719)
+7.2%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
50.0% (22)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
50.0% (2)
+7.9%
On power play, Patrick has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Peca is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (59).
Peca shoots left. Patrick is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Home / Away
Peca
Patrick
Home
23.5% (17)
50.1% (391)
Away
61.7% (120)
51.1% (352)
By Period
Peca
Patrick
P1
55.0%
54.4%
P2
58.3%
49.3%
P3
57.1%
47.5%
Final 5 min
64.0%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Peca
46.0%▼
49.5%
56.9%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 14:05 | Neutral | Matthew Peca |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 06:27 | Defensive | Matthew Peca |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 02:31 | Offensive | Matthew Peca |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 09:42 | Defensive | Matthew Peca |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 07:06 | Offensive | Matthew Peca |