Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.2% vs 51.0%). Peca wins 57.0% vs right-shot opponents — Patrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Peca 50.2% vs Patrick 51.0% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Patrick 69.6%
Defensive zone
Patrick 52.8%
Neutral zone
Patrick 56.7%
Result
Nolan Patrick favored at 60.3%
39.7%
60.3%
Peca
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Peca
Patrick
Last 5: Peca 5-0 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Peca
2
0
Peca
Patrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Peca
2
0
Peca
Patrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Peca
1
0
Peca
Patrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Peca
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (423)
50.6% (1,978)
+0.9%
Power Play
12.5% (8)
57.5% (120)
-45.0%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (43)
57.7% (26)
-13.5%
On power play, Patrick has a +45.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Peca is 57.0% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Peca shoots left. Patrick is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,441).
Home / Away
Peca
Patrick
Home
46.1% (193)
49.7% (1,106)
Away
53.0% (281)
52.5% (1,018)
By Period
Peca
Patrick
P1
56.6%
52.9%
P2
44.4%
49.1%
P3
50.3%
51.3%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.4%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Peca
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.2%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 14:05 | Neutral | Matthew Peca |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 06:27 | Defensive | Matthew Peca |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 02:31 | Offensive | Matthew Peca |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 09:42 | Defensive | Matthew Peca |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 07:06 | Offensive | Matthew Peca |