Scouting Report
Matthew Peca holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Peca on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Peca wins 57.0% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Peca 50.2% vs Strome 44.6% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 57.7%
Defensive zone
Peca 52.7%
Neutral zone
Strome 51.5%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Peca
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Peca
Strome
Last 8: Peca 4-4 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
2
Peca
Strome
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Peca
3
0
Peca
Strome
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
0
2
Peca
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Peca
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (423)
44.1% (6,839)
+7.4%
Power Play
12.5% (8)
49.3% (854)
-36.8%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (43)
41.5% (410)
+2.7%
On power play, Strome has a +36.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Peca is 57.0% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Peca shoots left. Strome is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,726).
Home / Away
Peca
Strome
Home
46.1% (193)
44.4% (4,046)
Away
53.0% (281)
44.7% (4,057)
By Period
Peca
Strome
P1
56.6%
44.0%
P2
44.4%
45.3%
P3
50.3%
44.3%
OT
0.0%
46.3%
Final 5 min
48.4%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Peca
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.2%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2018 | 2 | 14:44 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 5, 2018 | 3 | 10:19 | Defensive | Matthew Peca |
| Feb 5, 2018 | 2 | 16:30 | Defensive | Matthew Peca |
| Feb 5, 2018 | 2 | 04:45 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 5, 2018 | 2 | 04:38 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 5, 2018 | 1 | 18:30 | Offensive | Matthew Peca |
| Feb 5, 2018 | 1 | 16:22 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 5, 2018 | 1 | 01:21 | Defensive | Matthew Peca |