Scouting Report
Tomas Plekanec holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Peca on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Peca wins 41.7% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Peca 47.7% vs Plekanec 51.1% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Peca 68.4%
Defensive zone
Plekanec 72.2%
Neutral zone
Plekanec 55.2%
Result
Tomas Plekanec favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
Peca
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Peca
Plekanec
Last 6: Peca 3-3 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
0
1
Peca
Plekanec
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Peca
2
1
Peca
Plekanec
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Peca
Plekanec
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Peca
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (69)
53.8% (1,081)
-8.9%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
48.6% (70)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
37.8% (201)
-37.8%
On penalty kill, Plekanec has a +37.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Peca is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (48).
Peca shoots left. Plekanec is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Peca
Plekanec
Home
44.1% (59)
52.3% (725)
Away
46.2% (13)
49.9% (627)
By Period
Peca
Plekanec
P1
63.6%
54.6%
P2
31.8%
51.3%
P3
39.3%
47.9%
Final 5 min
28.6%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Peca
46.0%▼
49.5%
44.4%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matthew Peca |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 2 | 15:58 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 2 | 12:06 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 1 | 06:49 | Defensive | Matthew Peca |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 1 | 04:06 | Defensive | Matthew Peca |