Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.2% vs 50.1%). Look for Peca on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Peca wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Peca 50.2% vs Plekanec 50.1% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Peca 51.6%
Defensive zone
Plekanec 55.9%
Neutral zone
Peca 53.1%
Result
Tomas Plekanec favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Peca
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Peca
Plekanec
Last 6: Peca 3-3 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
0
1
Peca
Plekanec
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Peca
2
1
Peca
Plekanec
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Peca
Plekanec
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Peca
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (423)
50.8% (8,558)
+0.7%
Power Play
12.5% (8)
51.3% (1,151)
-38.8%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (43)
46.0% (1,924)
-1.8%
On power play, Plekanec has a +38.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Peca is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Peca shoots left. Plekanec is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,049).
Home / Away
Peca
Plekanec
Home
46.1% (193)
51.1% (5,909)
Away
53.0% (281)
49.1% (5,818)
By Period
Peca
Plekanec
P1
56.6%
52.5%
P2
44.4%
48.9%
P3
50.3%
49.0%
OT
0.0%
51.1%
Final 5 min
48.4%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Peca
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.2%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matthew Peca |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 2 | 15:58 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 2 | 12:06 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 1 | 06:49 | Defensive | Matthew Peca |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 1 | 04:06 | Defensive | Matthew Peca |