Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Peca on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Peca wins 41.7% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Peca 47.7% vs Rask 49.8% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rask 73.6%
Defensive zone
Rask 67.2%
Neutral zone
Rask 72.5%
Result
Victor Rask favored at 72.0%
28.0%
72.0%
Peca
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Peca
Rask
Last 6: Peca 4-2 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Peca
Rask
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Peca
1
0
Peca
Rask
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Peca
2
1
Peca
Rask
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Peca
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (69)
48.7% (809)
-3.8%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
60.0% (90)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
47.4% (19)
-47.4%
On penalty kill, Rask has a +47.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Peca is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (48).
Peca shoots left. Rask is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (582).
Home / Away
Peca
Rask
Home
44.1% (59)
51.4% (420)
Away
46.2% (13)
48.4% (498)
By Period
Peca
Rask
P1
63.6%
49.1%
P2
31.8%
50.2%
P3
39.3%
50.3%
Final 5 min
28.6%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Peca
46.0%▼
49.5%
44.4%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2016 | 3 | 16:13 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 3 | 14:03 | Defensive | Matthew Peca |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 3 | 10:44 | Neutral | Matthew Peca |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 3 | 03:12 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 2 | 09:27 | Offensive | Matthew Peca |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 1 | 07:35 | Neutral | Matthew Peca |