Scouting Report
Matthew Peca holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Peca wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Ostapchuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Peca 50.2% vs Ostapchuk 49.3% (+1.1%)
Offensive zone
Ostapchuk 51.5%
Defensive zone
Peca 51.6%
Neutral zone
Peca 51.3%
Result
Matthew Peca favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Peca
Ostapchuk
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Peca
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (423)
49.8% (544)
+1.7%
Power Play
12.5% (8)
16.7% (6)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (43)
42.9% (28)
+1.3%
On power play, Ostapchuk has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Peca is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Peca shoots left. Ostapchuk is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (412).
Home / Away
Peca
Ostapchuk
Home
46.1% (193)
48.9% (264)
Away
53.0% (281)
49.4% (314)
By Period
Peca
Ostapchuk
P1
56.6%
48.4%
P2
44.4%
48.1%
P3
50.3%
51.1%
Final 5 min
48.4%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Peca
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.2%
Ostapchuk
62.0%▲
53.0%
49.1%