Scouting Report
Matthew Peca holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Peca wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Ostapchuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Peca 50.2% vs Ostapchuk 48.4% (+2.0%)
Offensive zone
Ostapchuk 51.0%
Defensive zone
Peca 50.1%
Neutral zone
Peca 50.9%
Result
Matthew Peca favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Peca
Ostapchuk
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Peca
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (423)
48.5% (612)
+3.0%
Power Play
12.5% (8)
28.6% (7)
-16.1%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (43)
46.8% (62)
-2.6%
On power play, Ostapchuk has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Peca is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Peca shoots left. Ostapchuk is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (470).
Home / Away
Peca
Ostapchuk
Home
46.1% (193)
48.6% (319)
Away
53.0% (281)
47.8% (362)
By Period
Peca
Ostapchuk
P1
56.6%
48.2%
P2
44.4%
45.8%
P3
50.3%
50.5%
Final 5 min
48.4%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Peca
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.2%
Ostapchuk
44.0%▼
48.5%
48.2%