Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Veleno on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 49.2% vs Poitras 45.5% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 61.0%
Defensive zone
Veleno 81.6%
Neutral zone
Veleno 72.5%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 73.0%
73.0%
27.0%
Veleno
Poitras
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Veleno
Poitras
Last 8: Veleno 6-2 Poitras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Veleno
Poitras
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
2
1
Veleno
Poitras
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
3
0
Veleno
Poitras
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Poitras
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (531)
43.3% (245)
+5.1%
Power Play
56.3% (64)
50.0% (6)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (27)
66.7% (3)
-22.3%
On penalty kill, Poitras has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poitras shoots right. Veleno is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (219).
Veleno shoots left. Poitras is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Veleno
Poitras
Home
48.8% (289)
44.6% (121)
Away
49.2% (333)
42.9% (133)
By Period
Veleno
Poitras
P1
46.1%
41.5%
P2
50.9%
45.4%
P3
49.7%
44.4%
Final 5 min
52.7%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
50.0%▬
50.5%
49.0%
Poitras
40.0%▼
45.0%
43.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 00:33 | Defensive | Matthew Poitras |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 09:59 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 12:24 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 19:07 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 13:16 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 04:58 | Offensive | Matthew Poitras |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 01:43 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |