Matthew Poitras vs Mika Zibanejad
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Poitras wins 41.5% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poitras 45.3% vs Zibanejad 49.9% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poitras 81.5%
Defensive zone
Poitras 70.3%
Neutral zone
Poitras 74.3%
Result
Matthew Poitras favored at 75.6%
75.6%
24.4%
Poitras
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Poitras
Zibanejad
Last 5: Poitras 1-4 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Poitras
Zibanejad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
2
Poitras
Zibanejad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Poitras
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poitras
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (388)
50.9% (11,719)
-7.3%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
52.2% (1,849)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
41.5% (1,790)
+25.2%
On penalty kill, Poitras has a +25.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Poitras is 41.5% vs right-shot opponents (118).
Poitras shoots right. Zibanejad is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (4,681).
Home / Away
Poitras
Zibanejad
Home
43.6% (195)
51.6% (7,566)
Away
44.7% (206)
48.3% (7,793)
By Period
Poitras
Zibanejad
P1
42.6%
50.4%
P2
45.5%
49.7%
P3
44.1%
49.8%
Final 5 min
41.2%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poitras
42.0%▼
44.5%
44.1%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 10:37 | Offensive | Matthew Poitras |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 14:05 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 17:41 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 17:36 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 11:30 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |