Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Poitras wins 41.5% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poitras 45.3% vs Suzuki 49.3% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poitras 82.3%
Defensive zone
Poitras 77.2%
Neutral zone
Poitras 80.2%
Result
Matthew Poitras favored at 80.0%
80.0%
20.0%
Poitras
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Poitras
Suzuki
Last 9: Poitras 1-8 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
2
Poitras
Suzuki
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
2
Poitras
Suzuki
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
4
Poitras
Suzuki
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poitras
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (388)
49.4% (6,327)
-5.8%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
50.7% (1,338)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
43.6% (456)
+23.1%
On penalty kill, Poitras has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Poitras is 41.5% vs right-shot opponents (118).
Poitras shoots right. Suzuki is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,208).
Home / Away
Poitras
Suzuki
Home
43.6% (195)
51.0% (3,997)
Away
44.7% (206)
47.6% (4,124)
By Period
Poitras
Suzuki
P1
42.6%
48.8%
P2
45.5%
49.1%
P3
44.1%
50.2%
Final 5 min
41.2%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poitras
42.0%▼
44.5%
44.1%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 02:19 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 13:09 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 12:54 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 05:51 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 05:39 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 18:06 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 01:06 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 01:27 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 10:05 | Neutral | Matthew Poitras |