Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Poitras wins 39.5% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poitras 45.5% vs Suzuki 52.4% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poitras 86.1%
Defensive zone
Poitras 81.9%
Neutral zone
Poitras 84.7%
Result
Matthew Poitras favored at 84.4%
84.4%
15.6%
Poitras
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Poitras
Suzuki
Last 9: Poitras 1-8 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
2
Poitras
Suzuki
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
2
Poitras
Suzuki
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
4
Poitras
Suzuki
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poitras
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (245)
51.3% (1,096)
-8.0%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
59.9% (157)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
56.9% (58)
+9.8%
On power play, Suzuki has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Poitras is 39.5% vs right-shot opponents (86).
Poitras shoots right. Suzuki is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Poitras
Suzuki
Home
44.6% (121)
54.2% (638)
Away
42.9% (133)
51.0% (673)
By Period
Poitras
Suzuki
P1
41.5%
51.5%
P2
45.4%
53.3%
P3
44.4%
52.4%
Final 5 min
40.0%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poitras
42.0%▼
44.5%
43.7%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 02:19 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 13:09 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 12:54 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 05:51 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 05:39 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 18:06 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 01:06 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 01:27 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 10:05 | Neutral | Matthew Poitras |