Matthew Poitras vs Ryan Johansen
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Poitras wins 41.5% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poitras 45.3% vs Johansen 53.3% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poitras 61.6%
Defensive zone
Poitras 50.4%
Neutral zone
Poitras 55.4%
Result
Matthew Poitras favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Poitras
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Poitras
Johansen
Last 5: Poitras 2-3 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poitras
1
0
Poitras
Johansen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Poitras
Johansen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Poitras
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poitras
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (388)
53.1% (11,017)
-9.5%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
56.2% (2,163)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
50.5% (978)
+16.2%
On penalty kill, Poitras has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Poitras is 41.5% vs right-shot opponents (118).
Poitras shoots right. Johansen is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (4,371).
Home / Away
Poitras
Johansen
Home
43.6% (195)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
44.7% (206)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Poitras
Johansen
P1
42.6%
53.2%
P2
45.5%
53.9%
P3
44.1%
52.8%
Final 5 min
41.2%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poitras
42.0%▼
44.5%
44.1%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2024 | 3 | 12:08 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 2 | 17:56 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 2 | 10:05 | Neutral | Matthew Poitras |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 1 | 03:53 | Offensive | Matthew Poitras |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 1 | 03:41 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |