Scouting Report
Matthew Poitras holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Poitras wins 39.5% vs right-shot opponents — Noesen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poitras 45.5% vs Noesen 45.9% (+1.5%)
Offensive zone
Noesen 60.1%
Defensive zone
Poitras 63.7%
Neutral zone
Poitras 52.2%
Result
Matthew Poitras favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Poitras
Noesen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poitras
Noesen
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (245)
41.1% (95)
+2.2%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
46.2% (13)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
100.0% (1)
-33.3%
On penalty kill, Noesen has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Noesen shoots right. Poitras is 39.5% vs right-shot opponents (86).
Poitras shoots right. Noesen is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (31).
Home / Away
Poitras
Noesen
Home
44.6% (121)
36.2% (58)
Away
42.9% (133)
49.0% (51)
By Period
Poitras
Noesen
P1
41.5%
35.6%
P2
45.4%
48.3%
P3
44.4%
45.7%
Final 5 min
40.0%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poitras
42.0%▼
44.5%
43.7%
Noesen
46.0%▼
47.5%
42.2%