Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Wood wins 38.1% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wood 46.0% vs Monahan 51.3% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wood 83.1%
Defensive zone
Wood 75.5%
Neutral zone
Wood 79.7%
Result
Matthew Wood favored at 78.6%
78.6%
21.4%
Wood
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Wood
Monahan
Last 9: Wood 2-7 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Wood
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
3
Wood
Monahan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Wood
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wood
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (114)
51.1% (11,356)
-8.1%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
53.7% (2,580)
-12.0%
On power play, Monahan has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Wood is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (97).
Wood shoots right. Monahan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (5,401).
Home / Away
Wood
Monahan
Home
43.8% (48)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
42.3% (78)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
Wood
Monahan
P1
44.0%
50.9%
P2
52.8%
51.7%
P3
28.9%
51.0%
OT
100.0%
53.5%
Final 5 min
55.0%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wood
38.0%▼
42.9%
42.9%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 17:03 | Defensive | Matthew Wood |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 14:12 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 12:25 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 07:21 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 02:24 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 14:23 | Neutral | Matthew Wood |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 10:46 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 10:38 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 10:15 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |