Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +20.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Janmark wins 33.3% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Janmark 43.0% vs Steel 52.3% (-20.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Janmark 70.1%
Defensive zone
Steel 52.7%
Neutral zone
Janmark 58.2%
Result
Mattias Janmark favored at 68.2%
68.2%
31.8%
Janmark
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Janmark
Steel
Last 6: Janmark 2-4 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
2
3
Janmark
Steel
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Janmark
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Janmark
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
29.1% (55)
51.6% (401)
-22.5%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
66.7% (39)
-41.7%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (6)
44.4% (9)
+22.3%
On power play, Steel has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Janmark is 33.3% vs left-shot opponents (39).
Janmark shoots left. Steel is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
Janmark
Steel
Home
26.3% (19)
55.8% (206)
Away
34.8% (46)
50.2% (243)
By Period
Janmark
Steel
P1
43.5%
57.0%
P2
20.0%
50.7%
P3
37.5%
51.0%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Janmark
34.0%▼
39.0%
32.3%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 15:26 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 12:49 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 12:22 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 10:44 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 1 | 08:00 | Offensive | Mattias Janmark |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 1 | 04:33 | Offensive | Mattias Janmark |