Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Janmark wins 38.9% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Janmark 40.1% vs Steel 50.2% (-11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Janmark 74.7%
Defensive zone
Janmark 61.8%
Neutral zone
Janmark 61.2%
Result
Mattias Janmark favored at 72.5%
72.5%
27.5%
Janmark
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Janmark
Steel
Last 6: Janmark 2-4 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
2
3
Janmark
Steel
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Janmark
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Janmark
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
39.7% (907)
50.6% (2,876)
-10.9%
Power Play
32.5% (40)
62.6% (179)
-30.1%
Penalty Kill
36.1% (72)
37.4% (254)
-1.3%
On power play, Steel has a +30.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Janmark is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Janmark shoots left. Steel is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,072).
Home / Away
Janmark
Steel
Home
39.3% (463)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
39.0% (556)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Janmark
Steel
P1
41.2%
51.9%
P2
35.7%
49.5%
P3
41.3%
49.6%
OT
37.5%
41.9%
Final 5 min
40.2%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Janmark
34.0%▼
39.0%
39.2%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 15:26 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 12:49 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 12:22 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 10:44 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 1 | 08:00 | Offensive | Mattias Janmark |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 1 | 04:33 | Offensive | Mattias Janmark |