Scouting Report
Matty Beniers holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bedard on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Bedard wins 39.6% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 40.7% vs Beniers 47.6% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 67.5%
Defensive zone
Beniers 58.8%
Neutral zone
Beniers 64.6%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 64.6%
35.4%
64.6%
Bedard
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Bedard
Beniers
Last 7: Bedard 4-3 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
3
1
Bedard
Beniers
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bedard
Beniers
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
0
1
Bedard
Beniers
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
38.9% (512)
47.3% (945)
-8.4%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
51.7% (145)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
23.8% (21)
+1.2%
On even strength, Beniers has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Bedard is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Bedard shoots right. Beniers is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Bedard
Beniers
Home
40.2% (246)
49.6% (565)
Away
37.8% (286)
45.2% (546)
By Period
Bedard
Beniers
P1
39.9%
48.0%
P2
38.5%
49.0%
P3
39.0%
46.5%
OT
25.0%
23.5%
Final 5 min
46.7%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
38.9%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 03:28 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 2 | 01:09 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 2 | 00:50 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 1 | 15:39 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 1 | 12:10 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 16:57 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 17:43 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |