Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.7% vs 49.3%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 49.7% vs Beniers 49.4% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 51.7%
Defensive zone
Norris 50.4%
Neutral zone
Norris 54.4%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Norris
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Norris
Beniers
Last 5: Norris 3-2 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
0
2
Norris
Beniers
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
2
0
Norris
Beniers
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
1
0
Norris
Beniers
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (356)
48.9% (833)
+1.1%
Power Play
48.7% (76)
58.3% (36)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
50.0% (32)
-7.1%
On power play, Beniers has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Norris is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Norris shoots left. Beniers is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Home / Away
Norris
Beniers
Home
47.2% (193)
52.4% (460)
Away
51.6% (246)
46.0% (441)
By Period
Norris
Beniers
P1
53.8%
48.4%
P2
48.2%
51.1%
P3
47.9%
47.8%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
45.6%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
49.7%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 10:40 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 07:43 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 05:18 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 07:37 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 05:33 | Defensive | Josh Norris |