Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Beniers wins 41.3% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 42.9% vs Bonino 48.5% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Beniers 69.7%
Defensive zone
Bonino 54.5%
Neutral zone
Beniers 54.3%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Beniers
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Beniers
Bonino
Last 10: Beniers 4-6 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
2
1
Beniers
Bonino
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
4
Beniers
Bonino
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
2
1
Beniers
Bonino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (879)
48.1% (324)
-5.8%
Power Play
40.3% (72)
57.9% (38)
-17.6%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
44.3% (88)
+0.1%
On power play, Bonino has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Beniers is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (598).
Beniers shoots left. Bonino is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Beniers
Bonino
Home
43.8% (495)
52.0% (244)
Away
40.5% (474)
43.7% (206)
By Period
Beniers
Bonino
P1
43.3%
48.0%
P2
45.6%
42.9%
P3
38.2%
53.9%
OT
36.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
42.3%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
42.2%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2023 | 3 | 03:57 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 1 | 08:41 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 1 | 08:34 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 1 | 08:29 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 1 | 03:44 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 1 | 03:34 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 05:28 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 05:23 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 18:53 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 13:10 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 01:46 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |