Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Beniers wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 42.9% vs Suzuki 47.5% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 79.3%
Defensive zone
Beniers 79.6%
Neutral zone
Beniers 80.5%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 79.6%
79.6%
20.4%
Beniers
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Beniers
Suzuki
Last 8: Beniers 1-7 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
4
Beniers
Suzuki
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
1
Beniers
Suzuki
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
2
Beniers
Suzuki
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (879)
47.0% (1,066)
-4.7%
Power Play
40.3% (72)
49.5% (204)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
46.6% (131)
-2.2%
On power play, Suzuki has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Beniers is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (371).
Beniers shoots left. Suzuki is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,005).
Home / Away
Beniers
Suzuki
Home
43.8% (495)
49.4% (686)
Away
40.5% (474)
45.3% (715)
By Period
Beniers
Suzuki
P1
43.3%
45.6%
P2
45.6%
46.9%
P3
38.2%
49.8%
OT
36.4%
38.1%
Final 5 min
42.3%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
42.2%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2023 | 3 | 12:12 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 2 | 02:32 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 1 | 16:25 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 09:00 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 15:37 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 1 | 01:56 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |