Scouting Report
Matty Beniers holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 49.4% vs McLeod 47.8% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 68.4%
Defensive zone
McLeod 63.3%
Neutral zone
McLeod 51.5%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Beniers
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Beniers
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
2
0
Beniers
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Beniers
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (833)
49.2% (796)
-0.3%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
44.8% (87)
+13.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
43.3% (263)
+6.7%
On power play, Beniers has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Beniers is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Beniers shoots left. McLeod is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Home / Away
Beniers
McLeod
Home
52.4% (460)
49.2% (575)
Away
46.0% (441)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Beniers
McLeod
P1
48.4%
52.8%
P2
51.1%
45.1%
P3
47.8%
45.6%
OT
66.7%
35.7%
Final 5 min
45.5%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
49.3%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 12:18 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 03:33 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 00:31 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |