Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 47.6% vs McLeod 50.7% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 58.9%
Defensive zone
McLeod 59.8%
Neutral zone
McLeod 58.6%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
Beniers
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Beniers
McLeod
Last 9: Beniers 5-4 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
2
1
Beniers
McLeod
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
2
Beniers
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
2
1
Beniers
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (945)
51.3% (628)
-4.0%
Power Play
51.7% (145)
68.3% (41)
-16.6%
Penalty Kill
23.8% (21)
30.6% (49)
-6.8%
On power play, McLeod has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Beniers is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (718).
Beniers shoots left. McLeod is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (507).
Home / Away
Beniers
McLeod
Home
49.6% (565)
51.5% (394)
Away
45.2% (546)
50.0% (324)
By Period
Beniers
McLeod
P1
48.0%
51.5%
P2
49.0%
47.0%
P3
46.5%
54.3%
OT
23.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.4%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 11:32 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 12:23 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 04:46 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 06:49 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 2 | 07:06 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 1 | 08:29 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 1 | 05:23 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 11:20 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 19:24 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |