Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.6% vs 47.2%). Beniers wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Connolly shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 46.7% vs Connolly 47.3% (-0.6%)
Offensive zone
Connolly 52.4%
Defensive zone
Beniers 51.1%
Neutral zone
Connolly 50.8%
Result
Tim Connolly favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Beniers
Connolly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (3,796)
47.4% (1,307)
-0.8%
Power Play
47.8% (360)
50.2% (251)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (111)
41.9% (186)
-0.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Beniers is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,447).
Beniers shoots left. Connolly is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,179).
Home / Away
Beniers
Connolly
Home
48.9% (2,195)
48.5% (870)
Away
44.2% (2,072)
45.9% (885)
By Period
Beniers
Connolly
P1
47.4%
47.4%
P2
47.1%
47.7%
P3
45.7%
47.0%
OT
34.1%
37.8%
Final 5 min
46.2%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
46.6%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
47.2%