Scouting Report
Mavrik Bourque holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Groulx wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bourque shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 45.3% vs Bourque 46.4% (-1.4%)
Offensive zone
Bourque 57.3%
Defensive zone
Bourque 50.2%
Neutral zone
Groulx 54.6%
Result
Mavrik Bourque favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Groulx
Bourque
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
Bourque
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (371)
46.7% (508)
-0.6%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
27.3% (22)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
36.9% (84)
42.9% (28)
-6.0%
On power play, Groulx has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bourque shoots right. Groulx is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (164).
Groulx shoots left. Bourque is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Home / Away
Groulx
Bourque
Home
49.8% (241)
47.3% (262)
Away
38.3% (222)
44.3% (296)
By Period
Groulx
Bourque
P1
45.3%
42.4%
P2
44.8%
42.9%
P3
42.9%
50.7%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
48.0%▲
42.5%
44.3%
Bourque
50.0%▲
46.0%
45.7%