Scouting Report
Phil Varone holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Bourque wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Varone shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bourque 46.4% vs Varone 47.7% (-1.6%)
Offensive zone
Varone 59.4%
Defensive zone
Bourque 60.9%
Neutral zone
Bourque 50.1%
Result
Mavrik Bourque favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Bourque
Varone
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bourque
Varone
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (508)
47.5% (575)
-0.8%
Power Play
27.3% (22)
38.5% (13)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (28)
50.0% (2)
-7.1%
On power play, Varone has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Varone shoots left. Bourque is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Bourque shoots right. Varone is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Home / Away
Bourque
Varone
Home
47.3% (262)
48.0% (221)
Away
44.3% (296)
46.9% (369)
By Period
Bourque
Varone
P1
42.4%
50.0%
P2
42.9%
42.7%
P3
50.7%
50.0%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.0%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bourque
50.0%▲
46.0%
45.7%
Varone
40.0%▼
50.5%
47.3%