Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.7% vs 46.2%). Bourque wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Suter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bourque 46.4% vs Suter 46.3% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suter 61.7%
Defensive zone
Bourque 59.0%
Neutral zone
Suter 50.1%
Result
Pius Suter favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Bourque
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Bourque
Suter
Last 7: Bourque 3-4 Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Bourque
Suter
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suter
0
1
Bourque
Suter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Bourque
Suter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bourque
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (508)
46.2% (3,208)
+0.5%
Power Play
27.3% (22)
52.9% (278)
-25.6%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (28)
40.3% (303)
+2.6%
On power play, Suter has a +25.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Bourque is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Bourque shoots right. Suter is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,403).
Home / Away
Bourque
Suter
Home
47.3% (262)
46.8% (1,804)
Away
44.3% (296)
45.7% (1,985)
By Period
Bourque
Suter
P1
42.4%
46.6%
P2
42.9%
46.0%
P3
50.7%
46.1%
OT
0.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
52.0%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bourque
50.0%▲
46.0%
45.7%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 06:30 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 12:35 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 04:31 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 01:38 | Offensive | Mavrik Bourque |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 3 | 04:04 | Neutral | Mavrik Bourque |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 1 | 18:43 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 1 | 05:48 | Offensive | Mavrik Bourque |