Scouting Report
Max Domi holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Domi on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Howden wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 51.1% vs Domi 53.3% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 55.2%
Defensive zone
Howden 60.1%
Neutral zone
Howden 58.5%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Howden
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Howden
Domi
Last 9: Howden 4-5 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
1
3
Howden
Domi
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
2
0
Howden
Domi
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Domi
1
2
Howden
Domi
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (214)
53.8% (847)
-0.5%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
52.1% (96)
-18.8%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (10)
57.1% (7)
-37.1%
On penalty kill, Domi has a +37.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Howden is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Howden shoots left. Domi is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (637).
Home / Away
Howden
Domi
Home
55.2% (96)
53.9% (445)
Away
48.9% (131)
53.5% (505)
By Period
Howden
Domi
P1
42.0%
51.4%
P2
55.8%
55.3%
P3
55.6%
54.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
51.5%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 02:36 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 04:45 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 04:36 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 03:08 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 04:31 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 12:39 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 05:56 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Domi |