Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 51.8% vs Domi 45.9% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 67.8%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 93.8%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 90.0%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 88.2%
88.2%
11.8%
MacKenzie
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
MacKenzie
Domi
Last 6: MacKenzie 5-1 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
0
MacKenzie
Domi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
3
0
MacKenzie
Domi
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
MacKenzie
Domi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (438)
43.8% (345)
+11.9%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
50.0% (66)
+30.0%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (162)
100.0% (1)
-58.6%
On penalty kill, Domi has a +58.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. MacKenzie is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (340).
MacKenzie shoots left. Domi is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (245).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Domi
Home
51.3% (312)
44.0% (241)
Away
52.9% (293)
46.2% (171)
By Period
MacKenzie
Domi
P1
50.5%
41.7%
P2
48.8%
48.9%
P3
57.4%
43.9%
Final 5 min
54.2%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
52.1%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2017 | 3 | 17:41 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 3 | 03:37 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 2 | 05:21 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 2 | 05:14 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 1 | 07:33 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 1 | 04:28 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |