Scouting Report
Max Domi holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Domi wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 53.3% vs Bonino 48.5% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 60.0%
Defensive zone
Bonino 81.7%
Neutral zone
Bonino 68.8%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 73.0%
27.0%
73.0%
Domi
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Domi
Bonino
Last 5: Domi 1-4 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Domi
Bonino
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
3
Domi
Bonino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (847)
48.1% (324)
+5.7%
Power Play
52.1% (96)
57.9% (38)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
44.3% (88)
+12.8%
On penalty kill, Domi has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Domi is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (637).
Domi shoots left. Bonino is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Domi
Bonino
Home
53.9% (445)
52.0% (244)
Away
53.5% (505)
43.7% (206)
By Period
Domi
Bonino
P1
51.4%
48.0%
P2
55.3%
42.9%
P3
54.7%
53.9%
OT
41.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
59.2%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.7%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | OT | 00:08 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 12:30 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 13:18 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 01:01 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 03:22 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |