Scouting Report
Max Domi holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kapanen on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Domi wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Kapanen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 48.8% vs Kapanen 47.5% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 55.6%
Defensive zone
Domi 50.0%
Neutral zone
Kapanen 51.4%
Result
Max Domi favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Domi
Kapanen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Domi
Kapanen
Last 6: Domi 3-3 Kapanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kapanen
1
2
Domi
Kapanen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Domi
1
0
Domi
Kapanen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Domi
Kapanen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (4,296)
47.2% (559)
+0.9%
Power Play
53.4% (633)
51.0% (51)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (41)
39.5% (38)
+9.3%
On penalty kill, Domi has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Domi is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,629).
Domi shoots left. Kapanen is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Home / Away
Domi
Kapanen
Home
49.7% (2,604)
47.1% (340)
Away
47.8% (2,366)
47.1% (308)
By Period
Domi
Kapanen
P1
48.7%
42.7%
P2
48.3%
50.2%
P3
49.8%
48.2%
OT
43.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.0%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
48.8%
Kapanen
48.0%▬
48.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 03:44 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 13:03 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 04:16 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 04:09 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 1 | 17:48 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 1 | 17:44 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |